Homers in the Gloaming

Baseball, statistics, and the Chicago Cubs

One toke over the line-up

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Chicago Tribune

I’ve always wondered about the Cubs’ line-up.  We have a few “lead off” hitters: Soriano supposedly, Fukudome, Theriot.  A few “clean up” guys: Ramirez, Lee, Soto, Edmonds (God forbid?).  And a bunch of other good hitters to put somewhere.  Just for fun, I ran some stats through the tool over at Baseball Musings (based on the work of Cyril Morong, Ken Arneson, and Ryan Armbrust).

The Cubs’ most used batting order this year: Soriano, Theriot, Lee, Ramirez, Fukudome, Soto, DeRosa, Johnson, and then the pitcher, yields about 5.295 runs/game (assuming the pitcher’s spot gets .222 OBP and SLG).  The best order, using this year’s stats: Fukudome, Ramirez, Johnson, Soto, DeRosa, Soriano, Lee, pitcher, Theriot, yielding about 5.626 runs/game.  Interestingly, all of the “best” line-ups put the pitcher in the 8 spot.  One has to think that those .331 runs/game might’ve gotten an extra win in the first half.

What about until Soriano comes off the DL?  Theriot, Fukudome, Lee, Ramirez, Soto, Edmonds, DeRosa, Fontenot, pitcher is the most common, and yields 5.575 runs/game.  The best line-up: Fukudome, Ramirez, DeRosa, Edmonds, Lee, Soto, Fontenot, pitcher, Theriot, giving 5.816 runs/game.  Again, these are based on this year’s stats, but hey, we all know how much Sweet Lou loves to play the hot hand.  Have fun coming up with your own line-ups.


Written by ollie

17 July 2008 at 6:24 am

Posted in players, stats

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