Homers in the Gloaming

Baseball, statistics, and the Chicago Cubs

Astros 7 Cubs 11

leave a comment »

AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast

AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast

Box score.  After yesterday’s rain-abbreviated loss, try as they might, they just can’t blow their lead permanently, and the Cubs bounce back and win an offensive battle.  Doubles from Lee, DeRosa, Blanco, and Soriano, and a three-run homer from Soriano help put that 11 on the board.  It’s a shame we can’t retroactively apply 3 of these runs to yesterday’s game.

Harden struggles in this one.  He goes 5 2/3, giving up 8 hits and a walk, allows 2 home runs, and 5 runs.  Also, Howry is awful.  Just plain awful.  He goes 1 1/3 in this one, giving up a home run and 2 ER, and certainly doesn’t help his 5.09 ERA.  Marmol does pitch a perfect 9th.  Luckily, the offense bails out the rough pitching, and the Cubs walk away.

The lead is now 5.5 and 6 over the Brewers and Cardinals respectively, until their games this evening.  The Brewers are at the Reds, and the Cardinals host the Dodgers.  Baseball Proesctus’s PECOTA-adjusted system has the Cubs’ odds of making the playoffs at 96.3% (84.3% division champs, 12.1% wild card).  This number will tick up slightly after this game.

The Cubs have improved to 42-16 at Wrigley, 68-46 overall.  They have 23 remaining at home, and 25 on the road.  This includes 6 versus the Brewers, and 9 versus the Cardinals.

Advertisements

Written by ollie

5 August 2008 at 2:29 pm

Posted in games

Tagged with , , ,

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: